Merrimack
W-L: ( 7-25) PR = 93.3754Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 926 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 3- 6 927 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 5- 3 1003 A Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 2- 4 1004 A Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 2- 2 1010 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 3- 6 1011 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 3- 1 1019 A Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 0- 1 1025 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 1- 2 1031 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 8 1101 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 5 1107 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 1- 2 1108 A Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 1- 2 1114 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 1- 4 1115 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 0- 5 1115 H Assumption EWHA (19-18, 93.8) 0- 5 1122 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 0- 4 1130 H Assumption EWHA (19-18, 93.8) 4- 1 1205 A Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 2- 3 1206 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 2- 3 103 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 3 104 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 2 109 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 1- 4 110 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 3 115 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 8 116 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 2- 1 123 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 2- 0 124 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 2- 4 130 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 0- 3 131 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 1- 3 206 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 4 207 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 3- 2 213 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 1- 1 215 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 219 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 0- 2 221 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 3- 5 225 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
926 H Clarkson 3- 6 -3 -3 -0.21
927 H Clarkson 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.79
1003 A Union 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.56
1004 A Union 2- 2 0 -1 1.44
1010 A Lindenwood 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.26
1011 A Lindenwood 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.74
1025 H Boston College 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.03
1031 H New Hampshire 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.56
1101 A New Hampshire 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.77
1107 H Holy Cross 1- 2 -1 -1 0.08
1108 A Holy Cross 1- 2 -1 -2 0.87
1114 A Northeastern 1- 4 -3 -4 0.59
1115 H Northeastern 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.19
1115 H Assumption 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.97
1122 A Boston College 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.24
1130 H Assumption 4- 1 3 0 + 3.03
1205 A Providence 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.11
1206 H Providence 2- 3 -1 0 -0.89
103 H Bemidji State 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.73
104 H Bemidji State 2- 2 0 -1 1.27
109 H Vermont 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.11
110 H Vermont 3- 3 0 -1 0.89
115 A Connecticut 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.16
116 H Connecticut 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.05
123 A Maine 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.53
124 A Maine 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.47
130 H Boston University 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.50
131 A Boston University 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.72
206 A New Hampshire 2- 4 -2 -2 0.23
207 H Providence 3- 2 1 0 1.11
213 H Holy Cross 1- 1 0 -1 1.08
215 A Vermont 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.68
219 H Maine 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.25
221 A Connecticut 3- 5 -2 -4 1.84
225 A Maine 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1031 H New Hampshire 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.56 1115 H Assumption 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.97 1115 H Northeastern 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.19 1122 A Boston College 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.24 109 H Vermont 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.11 115 A Connecticut 1- 8 -7 -4 - -3.16 130 H Boston University 0- 3 -3 0 - -2.50 225 A Maine 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H Clarkson 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.79 116 H Connecticut 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.05 1011 A Lindenwood 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.74 1130 H Assumption 4- 1 3 0 + 3.03 123 A Maine 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.53 215 A Vermont 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 3- 6 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.02 -1.90
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.02 8.68
3 A Union (12-22, 94.4) 2- 4 -5.48 2.53 0.39 1.02 -2.59
3 A Union (12-22, 94.4) 2- 2 -5.48 2.53 0.39 1.02 0.00
3 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 3- 6 -5.17 2.83 0.39 1.02 -2.43
3 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.17 2.83 0.39 1.02 6.56
3 A Brown (18-15, 95.8) 0- 1 -4.06 3.94 0.39 1.02 -1.86
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 1- 2 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 1.02 -2.83
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 8 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 1.02 -2.59
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 5 -4.69 3.31 0.39 1.02 -2.19
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 1.02 -2.77
3 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.05 2.95 0.39 1.02 -2.37
3 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.32 4.68 0.39 1.02 -1.49
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 0- 5 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 1.02 -1.89
3 H Assumption (19-18, 93.8) 0- 5 -6.10 1.90 -0.39 1.02 -3.30
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 0- 4 -5.16 2.84 0.39 1.02 -2.43
3 H Assumption (19-18, 93.8) 4- 1 -6.10 1.90 -0.39 1.02 3.06
3 A Providence (12-25, 93.9) 2- 3 -6.02 1.98 0.39 1.02 -2.86
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 2- 3 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 1.02 -3.26
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 3 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 1.02 -2.68
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 2 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 1.02 0.00
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 1- 4 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 1.02 -2.87
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 3 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 1.02 0.00
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 8 -3.08 4.92 0.39 1.02 -1.37
3 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 2- 1 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 1.02 9.21
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 2- 0 -5.38 2.62 0.39 1.02 6.13
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 2- 4 -5.38 2.62 0.39 1.02 -2.54
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 0- 3 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 1.02 -3.07
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 1- 3 -5.64 2.37 0.39 1.02 -2.67
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 4 -4.69 3.31 0.39 1.02 -2.19
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 1.02 3.23
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 1- 1 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 1.02 0.00
3 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 2.76 0.39 1.02 6.42
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 0- 2 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 1.02 -2.94
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 3- 5 -3.08 4.92 0.39 1.02 -1.37
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 0- 4 -5.38 2.62 0.39 1.02 -2.54
------
-17.68
|
winning pts = 43.2888 losing points = -60.9687
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------